Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.391275 0.428055 0.467323 0.512463 0.563036 0.618081 0.682706
2025-12-07 0.326347 0.376876 0.434520 0.505548 0.591262 0.692047 0.820540
2025-12-14 0.287718 0.344275 0.411694 0.498766 0.609382 0.746758 0.932711
2025-12-21 0.255227 0.313746 0.385888 0.482530 0.610383 0.776291 1.012153
2025-12-28 0.239815 0.302095 0.381267 0.490965 0.641709 0.845651 1.149651
2026-01-04 0.226352 0.291274 0.376050 0.497080 0.669157 0.910958 1.287522
2026-01-11 0.213924 0.280510 0.369558 0.500145 0.691634 0.970244 1.422208
2026-01-18 0.202738 0.270389 0.362838 0.501777 0.711407 1.026488 1.557751
2026-01-25 0.193750 0.262536 0.358465 0.506025 0.734818 1.089687 1.711136
2026-02-01 0.181570 0.249278 0.345305 0.495910 0.734854 1.115508 1.804210
2026-02-08 0.174016 0.242156 0.340492 0.497869 0.753652 1.172839 1.958244
2026-02-15 0.165673 0.233325 0.332481 0.494072 0.762486 1.213876 2.087326
2026-02-22 0.159402 0.227341 0.328558 0.496712 0.782615 1.277006 2.267960
2026-03-01 0.151400 0.218293 0.319377 0.490156 0.786537 1.311881 2.398701
2026-03-08 0.144086 0.209885 0.310651 0.483623 0.789734 1.345374 2.530723
2026-03-15 0.135364 0.198831 0.297092 0.467983 0.775336 1.344377 2.590060
2026-03-22 0.132323 0.196553 0.297468 0.476109 0.804546 1.429369 2.847054
2026-03-29 0.129026 0.193671 0.296646 0.481998 0.829970 1.509405 3.105487
2026-04-05 0.125373 0.190013 0.294300 0.484950 0.849940 1.580336 3.354049
2026-04-12 0.121698 0.186127 0.291334 0.486523 0.867253 1.647406 3.604226
2026-04-19 0.118697 0.183205 0.289825 0.490613 0.889804 1.727935 3.902056
2026-04-26 0.113502 0.176371 0.281220 0.480872 0.883499 1.744451 4.035538
2026-05-03 0.110552 0.173205 0.278845 0.482759 0.901266 1.816747 4.332233